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Clinical Chemistry 39: 561-577, 1993;
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Clinical Chemistry, Vol 39, 561-577, Copyright © 1993 by American Association for Clinical Chemistry

Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots: a fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine [published erratum appears in Clin Chem 1993 Aug;39(8):1589]

MH Zweig and G Campbell
Clinical Pathology Department, Warren G. Magnuson Clinical Center, Bethesda, MD.

The clinical performance of a laboratory test can be described in terms of diagnostic accuracy, or the ability to correctly classify subjects into clinically relevant subgroups. Diagnostic accuracy refers to the quality of the information provided by the classification device and should be distinguished from the usefulness, or actual practical value, of the information. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots provide a pure index of accuracy by demonstrating the limits of a test's ability to discriminate between alternative states of health over the complete spectrum of operating conditions. Furthermore, ROC plots occupy a central or unifying position in the process of assessing and using diagnostic tools. Once the plot is generated, a user can readily go on to many other activities such as performing quantitative ROC analysis and comparisons of tests, using likelihood ratio to revise the probability of disease in individual subjects, selecting decision thresholds, using logistic-regression analysis, using discriminant- function analysis, or incorporating the tool into a clinical strategy by using decision analysis.


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J Med MicrobiolHome page
G. Reboux, R. Piarroux, S. Roussel, L. Millon, K. Bardonnet, and J.-C. Dalphin
Assessment of four serological techniques in the immunological diagnosis of farmers' lung disease
J. Med. Microbiol., October 1, 2007; 56(10): 1317 - 1321.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Hum ReprodHome page
A.M. Fulghesu, S. Angioni, E. Frau, C. Belosi, R. Apa, R. Mioni, N. Xamin, G.P. Capobianco, S. Dessole, F. Fruzzetti, et al.
Ultrasound in polycystic ovary syndrome the measuring of ovarian stroma and relationship with circulating androgens: results of a multicentric study
Hum. Reprod., September 1, 2007; 22(9): 2501 - 2508.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Vet Rec.Home page
G. J. Martin and J. S. Rand
Comparisons of different measurements for monitoring diabetic cats treated with porcine insulin zinc suspension
Vet Rec., July 14, 2007; 161(2): 52 - 58.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Nucleic Acids ResHome page
T. Ishida and K. Kinoshita
PrDOS: prediction of disordered protein regions from amino acid sequence
Nucleic Acids Res., July 13, 2007; 35(suppl_2): W460 - W464.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mol. Cell. ProteomicsHome page
M. Caron, G. Choquet-Kastylevsky, and R. Joubert-Caron
Cancer Immunomics Using Autoantibody Signatures for Biomarker Discovery
Mol. Cell. Proteomics, July 1, 2007; 6(7): 1115 - 1122.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
M. H. Olsen, T. W. Hansen, M. K. Christensen, F. Gustafsson, S. Rasmussen, K. Wachtell, H. Ibsen, C. Torp-Pedersen, and P. R. Hildebrandt
N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, but not high sensitivity C-reactive protein, improves cardiovascular risk prediction in the general population
Eur. Heart J., June 1, 2007; 28(11): 1374 - 1381.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med.Home page
B. Harris, D. Bailey, S. Miles, E. Bailey, K. Rogers, P. Roach, P. Thomas, M. Hensley, and G. G. King
Objective Analysis of Tomographic Ventilation-Perfusion Scintigraphy in Pulmonary Embolism
Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., June 1, 2007; 175(11): 1173 - 1180.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JCOHome page
R. Sposto, W. B. London, and T. A. Alonzo
Criteria for Optimizing Prognostic Risk Groups in Pediatric Cancer: Analysis of Data From the Children's Oncology Group
J. Clin. Oncol., May 20, 2007; 25(15): 2070 - 2077.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Hispanic Journal of Behavioral SciencesHome page
G. M. Gonzalez, C. Carter, and E. Blanes
Bilingual Computerized Speech Recognition Screening for Depression Symptoms: Comparing Aural and Visual Methods
Hispanic Journal of Behavioral Sciences, May 1, 2007; 29(2): 156 - 180.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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JCOHome page
R.-O. Casasnovas, N. Mounier, P. Brice, M. Divine, F. Morschhauser, J. Gabarre, J.-Y. Blay, L. Voillat, P. Lederlin, A. Stamatoullas, et al.
Plasma Cytokine and Soluble Receptor Signature Predicts Outcome of Patients With Classical Hodgkin's Lymphoma: A Study From the Groupe d'Etude des Lymphomes de l'Adulte
J. Clin. Oncol., May 1, 2007; 25(13): 1732 - 1740.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Clin. Cancer Res.Home page
Y.-J. Zhang, H.-C. Wu, J. Shen, H. Ahsan, W. Y. Tsai, H.-I Yang, L.-Y. Wang, S.-Y. Chen, C.-J. Chen, and R. M. Santella
Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma by Detection of Aberrant Promoter Methylation in Serum DNA
Clin. Cancer Res., April 15, 2007; 13(8): 2378 - 2384.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
K. Ohuchida, K. Mizumoto, J. Yu, H. Yamaguchi, H. Konomi, E. Nagai, K. Yamaguchi, M. Tsuneyoshi, and M. Tanaka
S100A6 Is Increased in a Stepwise Manner during Pancreatic Carcinogenesis: Clinical Value of Expression Analysis in 98 Pancreatic Juice Samples
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., April 1, 2007; 16(4): 649 - 654.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Clin. Chem.Home page
D. Coenen, P. Verschueren, R. Westhovens, and X. Bossuyt
Technical and Diagnostic Performance of 6 Assays for the Measurement of Citrullinated Protein/Peptide Antibodies in the Diagnosis of Rheumatoid Arthritis
Clin. Chem., March 1, 2007; 53(3): 498 - 504.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CVIHome page
M. Boscolo, M. Gobbo, W. Mantovani, M. Degani, M. Anselmi, G. B. Monteiro, S. Marocco, A. Angheben, M. Mistretta, M. Santacatterina, et al.
Evaluation of an Indirect Immunofluorescence Assay for Strongyloidiasis as a Tool for Diagnosis and Follow-Up
Clin. Vaccine Immunol., February 1, 2007; 14(2): 129 - 133.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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